Thoughts from a Yellow Dog Democrat living in Olympia, in the great BLUE state of Washington

I am a liberal because it is the political philosophy of freedom and equality. And I am a progressive because it is the political path to a better future. And I am a Democrat because it is the political party that believes in freedom, equality and progress. -- Digby

Friday, May 02, 2008

Can Obama Win Pennsylvania?

Hillary and the talking heads would like you to think it's in doubt that Obama can win in Pennsylvania in the general election. I keep hearing that maybe 40% of Hillary's voters will either stay home or vote for McCain -- ooooh! Scary!

Let's work the numbers -- from the Commonwealth's website:

Democratic Primary

Candidate Votes Percent
1,260,937 54.6%
1,046,822 45.4%

Republican Primary

Candidate Votes Percent
89,581 11.3%
574,779 72.8%
125,604 15.9%

So OK -- I doubt that people who today support Huckabee & Paul will suddenly hold their noses and switch to McCain in the general -- but let's say 1/2 do -- and let's say all of those folks who said they'll either vote for McCain or stay home rather than vote for Obama all show up for McCain -- that theoretically would give McCain 997,606 votes or 49 thousand less than Obama got in the primary.

Remind me again -- why does the MSM keep talking about McCain / Obama like it's a real match up?


  • At 12:30 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

    Yeah, a war hero and real American versus a communist.

  • At 2:31 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

    ooooh! A troll! I thought those guys had all joined Fox News.


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